This poll by Hart Research Associates shows that 40% are opposed to marriage equality.
According to Franck Bruni, to date, no state has adopted same-sex marriage by a voter referendum, and when such referendums have been held, they’ve gone consistently against it. But with the exception of North Carolina, those decisions predate significant movement in public polls toward greater acceptance of same-sex marriage. And all of those decisions, including North Carolina’s, preceded President Obama’s history-making statement of support for marriage equality; the endorsement of same-sex marriage by the N.A.A.C.P.; and the more recent news that the Democratic Party was drafting a marriage-equality plank to include in its platform this year, for the first time ever.
We will see in November.